Fluminense 1 x 2 Santos: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 31

Fluminense

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1 × 2

Santos

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Sunday, October 18 · 04:00 PMEstadio Jornalista Mário Filho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Fluminense win54.1%

Draw29.6%

Santos win16.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals47.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Santos beat Fluminense 2 to 1 away from home, Sunday, October 18, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho and in the Série A 2026.

Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 5 to 10, and corners were 4 to 5.

Fluminense arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Santos arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Fluminense, 0 for Santos and 1 draw.

Match statistics

50%Possession50%

2On target5

5Shots10

4Corners5

18Fouls18

3Saves1

2Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Fluminense win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FluminenseLLWWL

Fluminense's last matches
10/14	Fluminense 1x2 Palmeiras
10/11	Flamengo 1x0 Fluminense
10/08	Fluminense 4x0 Coritiba
09/20	Corinthians 1x3 Fluminense
09/15	Platense 2x1 Fluminense

SantosLDWWW

Santos's last matches
10/11	Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Santos
10/08	Santos 2x2 Flamengo
10/02	São Paulo 1x2 Santos
09/19	Remo 1x2 Santos
09/12	Santos 2x1 Cruzeiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between Fluminense and Santos
04/19/2026	Santos 2x3 Fluminense
08/31/2025	Santos 0x0 Fluminense
04/13/2025	Fluminense 1x0 Santos

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 31

Frequently asked questions about Fluminense vs Santos

What was the score of Fluminense vs Santos?: Fluminense 1 x 2 Santos, Sunday, October 18, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Santos?: The model pointed to a Fluminense win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Fluminense vs Santos?: Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 5 to 10, and corners were 4 to 5.
How did Fluminense and Santos arrive for this match?: Fluminense arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Santos arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Fluminense, 0 for Santos and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.