São Bernardo 3 x 1 CRB: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 31

São Bernardo

Home

3 × 1

CRB

Away

Friday, October 2 · 07:30 PMEstádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco

What the model calculated before the match

Result

São Bernardo win40.8%

Draw33.4%

CRB win25.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals59.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

São Bernardo beat CRB 3 to 1 at home, Friday, October 2, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco and in the Série B 2026.

CRB had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 11 to 20, and corners were 5 to 7.

São Bernardo arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). CRB arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended CRB 2 x 3 São Bernardo.

Match statistics

43%Possession57%

5On target8

11Shots20

5Corners7

11Fouls12

3Offsides2

7Saves2

1Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

São BernardoDWWLW

São Bernardo's last matches
09/25	Novorizontino 0x0 São Bernardo
09/18	São Bernardo 1x0 Atlético GO
09/14	América Mineiro 0x2 São Bernardo
09/10	São Bernardo 1x2 Londrina
09/06	Ponte Preta 0x2 São Bernardo

CRBWLWLW

CRB's last matches
09/27	CRB 3x0 Cuiabá
09/20	Ponte Preta 1x0 CRB
09/15	CRB 2x1 Sport Recife
09/09	Operário PR 3x0 CRB
09/04	CRB 3x1 América Mineiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between São Bernardo and CRB
06/07/2026	CRB 2x3 São Bernardo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 31

Frequently asked questions about São Bernardo vs CRB

What was the score of São Bernardo vs CRB?: São Bernardo 3 x 1 CRB, Friday, October 2, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for São Bernardo vs CRB?: The model pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for São Bernardo vs CRB?: CRB had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 11 to 20, and corners were 5 to 7.
How did São Bernardo and CRB arrive for this match?: São Bernardo arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). CRB arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended CRB 2 x 3 São Bernardo.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.