Avaí 0 x 1 Ceará: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 31

Avaí

Avaí

Home

0 × 1

Ceará

Ceará

Away

Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Avaí win35.1%
Draw37.3%
Ceará win27.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals40.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Ceará beat Avaí 1 to 0 away from home, Saturday, October 3, at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva and in the Série B 2026.

Avaí had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 16 to 11, and corners were 8 to 6.

Avaí arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points). Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Ceará 2 x 1 Avaí.

Avaí vs Ceará stats

Match statistics
56%Possession44%
5On target5
16Shots11
8Corners6
10Fouls16
3Offsides0
4Saves5
4Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

AvaíLLDLL

Avaí's last matches
09/27Criciúma 3x0 Avaí
09/20Goiás 2x1 Avaí
09/14Avaí 1x1 Vila Nova
09/09Fortaleza 1x0 Avaí
09/05Novorizontino 3x1 Avaí

CearáDWDLW

Ceará's last matches
09/26Operário PR 2x2 Ceará
09/18Ceará 2x1 Novorizontino
09/13Fortaleza 1x1 Ceará
09/09Atlético GO 2x1 Ceará
09/05Ceará 2x1 Sport Recife

Head-to-head

Last matches between Avaí and Ceará
06/10/2026Ceará 2x1 Avaí

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 31

Frequently asked questions about Avaí vs Ceará

What was the score of Avaí vs Ceará?
Avaí 0 x 1 Ceará, Saturday, October 3, at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Avaí vs Ceará?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Avaí vs Ceará?
Avaí had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 16 to 11, and corners were 8 to 6.
How did Avaí and Ceará arrive for this match?
Avaí arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points). Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Ceará 2 x 1 Avaí.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.