What was the score of Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova?

Botafogo SP 0 x 1 Vila Nova, Saturday, October 3, at Estádio Santa Cruz, in the Série B 2026.

Botafogo SP 0 x 1 Vila Nova: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 31

Botafogo SP

Home

0 × 1

Vila Nova

Away

Saturday, October 3 · 06:30 PMEstádio Santa Cruz

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo SP win31.7%

Draw31.7%

Vila Nova win36.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals41.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vila Nova beat Botafogo SP 1 to 0 away from home, Saturday, October 3, at Estádio Santa Cruz and in the Série B 2026.

Botafogo SP had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 11 to 4, and corners were 12 to 1.

Botafogo SP arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Botafogo SP, 1 for Vila Nova and 0 draws.

Match statistics

62%Possession38%

3On target3

11Shots4

12Corners1

19Fouls14

3Offsides3

2Saves3

2Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Botafogo SPWDLLL

Botafogo SP's last matches
09/29	Botafogo SP 2x0 Ponte Preta
09/19	Athletic Club 1x1 Botafogo SP
09/14	Botafogo SP 1x3 Goiás
09/09	Botafogo SP 1x3 Novorizontino
09/03	Náutico 1x0 Botafogo SP

Vila NovaWWDWL

Vila Nova's last matches
09/25	Vila Nova 2x0 Londrina
09/18	Vila Nova 1x0 América Mineiro
09/14	Avaí 1x1 Vila Nova
09/10	Vila Nova 2x0 Goiás
09/04	Athletic Club 5x0 Vila Nova

Head-to-head

Last matches between Botafogo SP and Vila Nova
06/08/2026	Vila Nova 1x0 Botafogo SP
08/25/2025	Botafogo SP 2x0 Vila Nova

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 31

Frequently asked questions about Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova

What was the score of Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova?: Botafogo SP 0 x 1 Vila Nova, Saturday, October 3, at Estádio Santa Cruz, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova?: The model pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova?: Botafogo SP had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 11 to 4, and corners were 12 to 1.
How did Botafogo SP and Vila Nova arrive for this match?: Botafogo SP arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Botafogo SP, 1 for Vila Nova and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.