Novorizontino 5 x 1 Ponte Preta: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 33

Novorizontino

Novorizontino

Home

5 × 1

Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta

Away

Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Novorizontino win75.3%
Draw17.7%
Ponte Preta win7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals70.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Novorizontino beat Ponte Preta 5 to 1 at home, Monday, October 12, at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi and in the Série B 2026.

Ponte Preta had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 11 to 12, and corners were 5 to 3.

Novorizontino arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Ponte Preta arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Ponte Preta 0 x 2 Novorizontino.

Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta stats

Match statistics
43%Possession57%
7On target7
11Shots12
5Corners3
23Fouls23
5Saves3
1Yellow cards6
1Red cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NovorizontinoWWDLD

Novorizontino's last matches
10/08Náutico 0x2 Novorizontino
10/01Novorizontino 3x0 Goiás
09/25Novorizontino 0x0 São Bernardo
09/18Ceará 2x1 Novorizontino
09/13Novorizontino 1x1 Cuiabá

Ponte PretaLLLWL

Ponte Preta's last matches
10/06Ponte Preta 0x2 Juventude
10/03Cuiabá 2x0 Ponte Preta
09/29Botafogo SP 2x0 Ponte Preta
09/20Ponte Preta 1x0 CRB
09/15Londrina 6x0 Ponte Preta

Head-to-head

Last matches between Novorizontino and Ponte Preta
06/22/2026Ponte Preta 0x2 Novorizontino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 33

Frequently asked questions about Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta

What was the score of Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?
Novorizontino 5 x 1 Ponte Preta, Monday, October 12, at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?
The model pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?
Ponte Preta had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 11 to 12, and corners were 5 to 3.
How did Novorizontino and Ponte Preta arrive for this match?
Novorizontino arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Ponte Preta arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Ponte Preta 0 x 2 Novorizontino.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.