Náutico 0 x 2 Vila Nova: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 33

Náutico

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0 × 2

Vila Nova

Away

Sunday, October 11 · 05:30 PMEstádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Náutico win31.8%

Draw34.5%

Vila Nova win33.7%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals42.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vila Nova beat Náutico 2 to 0 away from home, Sunday, October 11, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 12 to 9, and corners were 7 to 4.

Náutico arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Vila Nova 4 x 3 Náutico.

Match statistics

57%Possession43%

3On target4

12Shots9

7Corners4

18Fouls17

4Offsides1

3Saves3

3Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NáuticoLDWLD

Náutico's last matches
10/08	Náutico 0x2 Novorizontino
10/02	Fortaleza 1x1 Náutico
09/26	Náutico 3x1 Sport Recife
09/21	Cuiabá 3x0 Náutico
09/15	Náutico 3x3 Operário PR

Vila NovaDWWWD

Vila Nova's last matches
10/07	Vila Nova 0x0 Cuiabá
10/03	Botafogo SP 0x1 Vila Nova
09/25	Vila Nova 2x0 Londrina
09/18	Vila Nova 1x0 América Mineiro
09/14	Avaí 1x1 Vila Nova

Head-to-head

Last matches between Náutico and Vila Nova
06/20/2026	Vila Nova 4x3 Náutico

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 33

Frequently asked questions about Náutico vs Vila Nova

What was the score of Náutico vs Vila Nova?: Náutico 0 x 2 Vila Nova, Sunday, October 11, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Náutico vs Vila Nova?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Náutico vs Vila Nova?: Náutico had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 12 to 9, and corners were 7 to 4.
How did Náutico and Vila Nova arrive for this match?: Náutico arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Vila Nova 4 x 3 Náutico.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.