Cuiabá 0 x 1 Avaí: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 33

Cuiabá

Cuiabá

Home

0 × 1

Avaí

Avaí

Away

Arena Pantanal

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Cuiabá win61.9%
Draw22.6%
Avaí win15.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals29.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Avaí beat Cuiabá 1 to 0 away from home, Sunday, October 11, at Arena Pantanal and in the Série B 2026.

Cuiabá had more of the ball (68% possession), shots were 13 to 3, and corners were 13 to 5.

Cuiabá arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Cuiabá, 1 for Avaí and 1 draw.

Cuiabá vs Avaí stats

Match statistics
68%Possession32%
5On target3
13Shots3
13Corners5
11Fouls11
2Offsides1
2Saves5
1Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Cuiabá win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CuiabáDWLWD

Cuiabá's last matches
10/07Vila Nova 0x0 Cuiabá
10/03Cuiabá 2x0 Ponte Preta
09/27CRB 3x0 Cuiabá
09/21Cuiabá 3x0 Náutico
09/13Novorizontino 1x1 Cuiabá

AvaíWLLLD

Avaí's last matches
10/07Avaí 2x1 Londrina
10/03Avaí 0x1 Ceará
09/27Criciúma 3x0 Avaí
09/20Goiás 2x1 Avaí
09/14Avaí 1x1 Vila Nova

Head-to-head

Last matches between Cuiabá and Avaí
06/21/2026Avaí 1x0 Cuiabá
04/10/2025Cuiabá 2x2 Avaí

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 33

Frequently asked questions about Cuiabá vs Avaí

What was the score of Cuiabá vs Avaí?
Cuiabá 0 x 1 Avaí, Sunday, October 11, at Arena Pantanal, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Cuiabá vs Avaí?
The model pointed to a Cuiabá win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Cuiabá vs Avaí?
Cuiabá had more of the ball (68% possession), shots were 13 to 3, and corners were 13 to 5.
How did Cuiabá and Avaí arrive for this match?
Cuiabá arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Cuiabá, 1 for Avaí and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.