Botafogo SP 1 x 0 Ceará: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 33

Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP

Home

1 × 0

Ceará

Ceará

Away

Estádio Santa Cruz

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo SP win38.0%
Draw30.6%
Ceará win31.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals39.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Botafogo SP beat Ceará 1 to 0 at home, Monday, October 12, at Estádio Santa Cruz and in the Série B 2026.

Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 10 to 9, and corners were 8 to 4.

Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Ceará arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Botafogo SP, 1 for Ceará and 0 draws.

Botafogo SP vs Ceará stats

Match statistics
50%Possession50%
4On target3
10Shots9
8Corners4
13Fouls18
2Offsides3
3Saves3
1Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Botafogo SP win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Botafogo SPWLWDL

Botafogo SP's last matches
10/07Operário PR 1x2 Botafogo SP
10/03Botafogo SP 0x1 Vila Nova
09/29Botafogo SP 2x0 Ponte Preta
09/19Athletic Club 1x1 Botafogo SP
09/14Botafogo SP 1x3 Goiás

CearáWWDWD

Ceará's last matches
10/08Ceará 1x0 Criciúma
10/03Avaí 0x1 Ceará
09/26Operário PR 2x2 Ceará
09/18Ceará 2x1 Novorizontino
09/13Fortaleza 1x1 Ceará

Head-to-head

Last matches between Botafogo SP and Ceará
06/20/2026Ceará 0x1 Botafogo SP
07/25/2024Ceará 4x1 Botafogo SP

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 33

Frequently asked questions about Botafogo SP vs Ceará

What was the score of Botafogo SP vs Ceará?
Botafogo SP 1 x 0 Ceará, Monday, October 12, at Estádio Santa Cruz, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Ceará?
The model pointed to a Botafogo SP win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo SP vs Ceará?
Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 10 to 9, and corners were 8 to 4.
How did Botafogo SP and Ceará arrive for this match?
Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Ceará arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Botafogo SP, 1 for Ceará and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.