Juventude 2 x 2 São Bernardo: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 33

Juventude

Juventude

Home

2 × 2

São Bernardo

São Bernardo

Away

Estádio Alfredo Jaconi

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Juventude win50.0%
Draw33.1%
São Bernardo win17.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals26.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Juventude and São Bernardo drew 2 to 2, Sunday, October 11, at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi and in the Série B 2026.

Juventude had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 12 to 6, and corners were 4 to 3.

Juventude arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended São Bernardo 0 x 1 Juventude.

Juventude vs São Bernardo stats

Match statistics
54%Possession46%
4On target4
12Shots6
4Corners3
16Fouls16
2Offsides1
2Saves2
1Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Juventude win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

JuventudeWWWLL

Juventude's last matches
10/06Ponte Preta 0x2 Juventude
10/02Juventude 3x0 Operário PR
09/28América Mineiro 0x1 Juventude
09/19Sport Recife 2x1 Juventude
09/13Juventude 0x2 Athletic Club

São BernardoLWDWW

São Bernardo's last matches
10/06Sport Recife 2x1 São Bernardo
10/02São Bernardo 3x1 CRB
09/25Novorizontino 0x0 São Bernardo
09/18São Bernardo 1x0 Atlético GO
09/14América Mineiro 0x2 São Bernardo

Head-to-head

Last matches between Juventude and São Bernardo
06/21/2026São Bernardo 0x1 Juventude

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 33

Frequently asked questions about Juventude vs São Bernardo

What was the score of Juventude vs São Bernardo?
Juventude 2 x 2 São Bernardo, Sunday, October 11, at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Juventude vs São Bernardo?
The model pointed to a Juventude win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Juventude vs São Bernardo?
Juventude had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 12 to 6, and corners were 4 to 3.
How did Juventude and São Bernardo arrive for this match?
Juventude arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended São Bernardo 0 x 1 Juventude.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.