Atlético Tucumán 2 x 3 Rosario Central: stats and analysis

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026, round 13

Atlético Tucumán

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2 × 3

Rosario Central

Away

Saturday, October 17 · 08:00 PMEstadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Atlético Tucumán win19.6%

Draw41.2%

Rosario Central win39.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals38.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Rosario Central beat Atlético Tucumán 3 to 2 away from home, Saturday, October 17, at Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro and in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.

Rosario Central had more of the ball (67% possession), shots were 12 to 15, and corners were 5 to 6.

Atlético Tucumán arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Rosario Central arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).

In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Atlético Tucumán, 3 for Rosario Central and 1 draw.

Match statistics

33%Possession67%

5On target9

12Shots15

5Corners6

11Fouls7

1Offsides1

5Saves3

3Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Atlético TucumánDLLLW

Atlético Tucumán's last matches
10/09	Gimnasia La Plata 1x1 Atlético Tucumán
10/03	Atlético Tucumán 2x3 Barracas Central
09/21	Aldosivi 1x0 Atlético Tucumán
09/12	Atlético Tucumán 1x2 River Plate
09/06	Racing Club 1x2 Atlético Tucumán

Rosario CentralWDWWD

Rosario Central's last matches
10/11	Rosario Central 5x0 Independiente Rivadavia
10/05	Banfield 1x1 Rosario Central
09/20	Rosario Central 1x0 Argentinos Juniors
09/13	Tigre 0x1 Rosario Central
09/06	Rosario Central 1x1 Newell's Old Boys

Head-to-head

Last matches between Atlético Tucumán and Rosario Central
04/04/2026	Rosario Central 2x1 Atlético Tucumán
08/09/2025	Atlético Tucumán 0x0 Rosario Central
02/08/2025	Rosario Central 3x1 Atlético Tucumán
08/26/2024	Rosario Central 1x0 Atlético Tucumán

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Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 13

Frequently asked questions about Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central

What was the score of Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central?: Atlético Tucumán 2 x 3 Rosario Central, Saturday, October 17, at Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.
What did the model predict for Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central?: Rosario Central had more of the ball (67% possession), shots were 12 to 15, and corners were 5 to 6.
How did Atlético Tucumán and Rosario Central arrive for this match?: Atlético Tucumán arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Rosario Central arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Atlético Tucumán, 3 for Rosario Central and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.