Estudiantes 1 x 2 San Lorenzo: stats and analysis

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026, round 13

Estudiantes

Estudiantes

Home

1 × 2

San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo

Away

Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Estudiantes win53.8%
Draw29.1%
San Lorenzo win17.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals23.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

San Lorenzo beat Estudiantes 2 to 1 away from home, Sunday, October 18, at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello and in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.

Estudiantes had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 8 to 9, and corners were 6 to 5.

Estudiantes arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). San Lorenzo arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Estudiantes, 1 for San Lorenzo and 1 draw.

Estudiantes vs San Lorenzo stats

Match statistics
65%Possession35%
2On target6
8Shots9
6Corners5
13Fouls18
4Offsides2
4Saves1
5Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Estudiantes win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

EstudiantesDDWLW

Estudiantes's last matches
10/15Estudiantes 0x0 Flamengo
10/10Central Cordoba SdE 2x2 Estudiantes
10/05Estudiantes 3x0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
09/21Lanús 2x1 Estudiantes
09/16Corinthians 0x1 Estudiantes

San LorenzoWLLDW

San Lorenzo's last matches
10/11San Lorenzo 1x0 Deportivo Riestra
10/03Defensa y Justicia 3x0 San Lorenzo
09/20San Lorenzo 0x2 Boca Juniors
09/13Independiente 1x1 San Lorenzo
09/05San Lorenzo 1x0 Talleres Córdoba

Head-to-head

Last matches between Estudiantes and San Lorenzo
04/03/2026San Lorenzo 1x0 Estudiantes
11/05/2024San Lorenzo 1x1 Estudiantes

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 13

Frequently asked questions about Estudiantes vs San Lorenzo

What was the score of Estudiantes vs San Lorenzo?
Estudiantes 1 x 2 San Lorenzo, Sunday, October 18, at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.
What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs San Lorenzo?
The model pointed to a Estudiantes win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Estudiantes vs San Lorenzo?
Estudiantes had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 8 to 9, and corners were 6 to 5.
How did Estudiantes and San Lorenzo arrive for this match?
Estudiantes arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). San Lorenzo arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Estudiantes, 1 for San Lorenzo and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.