Sarmiento 1 x 1 Barracas Central: stats and analysis

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026, round 13

Sarmiento

Sarmiento

Home

1 × 1

Barracas Central

Barracas Central

Away

Estadio Eva Perón de Junín

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Sarmiento win36.1%
Draw33.3%
Barracas Central win30.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals37.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Sarmiento and Barracas Central drew 1 to 1, Monday, October 19, at Estadio Eva Perón de Junín and in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.

Barracas Central had more of the ball (72% possession), shots were 7 to 17, and corners were 1 to 4.

Sarmiento arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Barracas Central arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Sarmiento, 0 for Barracas Central and 2 draws.

Sarmiento vs Barracas Central stats

Match statistics
28%Possession72%
2On target6
7Shots17
1Corners4
17Fouls12
1Offsides1
4Saves1
2Yellow cards1
1Red cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Sarmiento win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

SarmientoDWLDW

Sarmiento's last matches
10/14Sarmiento 1x1 River Plate
10/09Aldosivi 1x3 Sarmiento
09/18Racing Club 3x1 Sarmiento
09/13Sarmiento 1x1 Belgrano
09/04Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0x2 Sarmiento

Barracas CentralWWLDD

Barracas Central's last matches
10/10Barracas Central 2x0 Huracán
10/03Atlético Tucumán 2x3 Barracas Central
09/21Barracas Central 0x1 Independiente Rivadavia
09/14Banfield 1x1 Barracas Central
09/07Barracas Central 0x0 Argentinos Juniors

Head-to-head

Last matches between Sarmiento and Barracas Central
04/02/2026Barracas Central 1x2 Sarmiento
09/20/2025Barracas Central 0x1 Sarmiento
03/08/2025Sarmiento 1x1 Barracas Central
05/19/2024Barracas Central 1x1 Sarmiento

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 13

Frequently asked questions about Sarmiento vs Barracas Central

What was the score of Sarmiento vs Barracas Central?
Sarmiento 1 x 1 Barracas Central, Monday, October 19, at Estadio Eva Perón de Junín, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.
What did the model predict for Sarmiento vs Barracas Central?
The model pointed to a Sarmiento win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Sarmiento vs Barracas Central?
Barracas Central had more of the ball (72% possession), shots were 7 to 17, and corners were 1 to 4.
How did Sarmiento and Barracas Central arrive for this match?
Sarmiento arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Barracas Central arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Sarmiento, 0 for Barracas Central and 2 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.