Vélez Sarsfield 1 x 0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: stats and analysis

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026, round 13

Vélez Sarsfield

Vélez Sarsfield

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1 × 0

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Away

Estadio José Amalfitani

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vélez Sarsfield win45.8%
Draw34.3%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza win19.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals47.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vélez Sarsfield beat Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1 to 0 at home, Saturday, October 17, at Estadio José Amalfitani and in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.

Vélez Sarsfield had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 13 to 7, and corners were 12 to 2.

Vélez Sarsfield arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 3 x 2 Vélez Sarsfield.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza stats

Match statistics
62%Possession38%
6On target2
13Shots7
12Corners2
9Fouls11
4Offsides0
2Saves5
4Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Vélez Sarsfield win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Vélez SarsfieldLDWDW

Vélez Sarsfield's last matches
10/12Lanús 2x0 Vélez Sarsfield
10/05Vélez Sarsfield 2x2 Platense
09/20Vélez Sarsfield 3x2 Tigre
09/11Newell's Old Boys 1x1 Vélez Sarsfield
09/05Vélez Sarsfield 1x0 Estudiantes

Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaWLDLD

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's last matches
10/12Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1x0 Newell's Old Boys
10/05Estudiantes 3x0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
09/19Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 0x0 Deportivo Riestra
09/11Defensa y Justicia 2x0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
09/05Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 2x2 Boca Juniors

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vélez Sarsfield and Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
04/03/2026Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 3x2 Vélez Sarsfield

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 13

Frequently asked questions about Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

What was the score of Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
Vélez Sarsfield 1 x 0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza, Saturday, October 17, at Estadio José Amalfitani, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.
What did the model predict for Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
The model pointed to a Vélez Sarsfield win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
Vélez Sarsfield had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 13 to 7, and corners were 12 to 2.
How did Vélez Sarsfield and Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza arrive for this match?
Vélez Sarsfield arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 3 x 2 Vélez Sarsfield.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.