América Mineiro 0 x 1 Juventude: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 30

América Mineiro

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0 × 1

Juventude

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Monday, September 28 · 07:30 PMCentro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães

What the model calculated before the match

Result

América Mineiro win17.5%

Draw29.2%

Juventude win53.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals24.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Juventude beat América Mineiro 1 to 0 away from home, Monday, September 28, at Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães and in the Série B 2026.

Juventude had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 10 to 8, and corners were 3 to 7.

América Mineiro arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Juventude arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Juventude 3 x 0 América Mineiro.

Match statistics

41%Possession59%

4On target3

10Shots8

3Corners7

14Fouls9

3Offsides2

2Saves4

1Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Juventude win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

América MineiroLLWLW

América Mineiro's last matches
09/18	Vila Nova 1x0 América Mineiro
09/14	América Mineiro 0x2 São Bernardo
09/09	América Mineiro 2x1 Náutico
09/04	CRB 3x1 América Mineiro
08/30	América Mineiro 2x0 Ponte Preta

JuventudeLLWDD

Juventude's last matches
09/19	Sport Recife 2x1 Juventude
09/13	Juventude 0x2 Athletic Club
09/08	Criciúma 0x2 Juventude
09/05	Juventude 2x2 Atlético GO
09/01	Londrina 0x0 Juventude

Head-to-head

Last matches between América Mineiro and Juventude
05/29/2026	Juventude 3x0 América Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 30

Frequently asked questions about América Mineiro vs Juventude

What was the score of América Mineiro vs Juventude?: América Mineiro 0 x 1 Juventude, Monday, September 28, at Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for América Mineiro vs Juventude?: The model pointed to a Juventude win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for América Mineiro vs Juventude?: Juventude had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 10 to 8, and corners were 3 to 7.
How did América Mineiro and Juventude arrive for this match?: América Mineiro arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Juventude arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Juventude 3 x 0 América Mineiro.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.