Criciúma 3 x 0 Avaí: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 30

Criciúma

Home

3 × 0

Avaí

Away

Sunday, September 27 · 11:00 AMEstádio Heriberto Hülse

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Criciúma win49.3%

Draw32.3%

Avaí win18.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals30.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Criciúma beat Avaí 3 to 0 at home, Sunday, September 27, at Estádio Heriberto Hülse and in the Série B 2026.

Criciúma had more of the ball (66% possession), shots were 15 to 1, and corners were 5 to 2.

Criciúma arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Criciúma, 1 for Avaí and 1 draw.

Match statistics

66%Possession34%

5On target0

15Shots1

5Corners2

10Fouls17

1Offsides0

0Saves2

1Yellow cards6

0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Criciúma win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CriciúmaLLLWL

Criciúma's last matches
09/22	Criciúma 0x2 Operário PR
09/13	Atlético GO 4x0 Criciúma
09/08	Criciúma 0x2 Juventude
09/04	Criciúma 2x0 Cuiabá
08/30	CRB 2x1 Criciúma

AvaíLDLLL

Avaí's last matches
09/20	Goiás 2x1 Avaí
09/14	Avaí 1x1 Vila Nova
09/09	Fortaleza 1x0 Avaí
09/05	Novorizontino 3x1 Avaí
08/30	Avaí 0x1 Atlético GO

Head-to-head

Last matches between Criciúma and Avaí
05/30/2026	Avaí 1x2 Criciúma
10/19/2025	Avaí 1x1 Criciúma
06/27/2025	Criciúma 1x2 Avaí

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 30

Frequently asked questions about Criciúma vs Avaí

What was the score of Criciúma vs Avaí?: Criciúma 3 x 0 Avaí, Sunday, September 27, at Estádio Heriberto Hülse, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Criciúma vs Avaí?: The model pointed to a Criciúma win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Criciúma vs Avaí?: Criciúma had more of the ball (66% possession), shots were 15 to 1, and corners were 5 to 2.
How did Criciúma and Avaí arrive for this match?: Criciúma arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Criciúma, 1 for Avaí and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.