Fortaleza 2 x 2 Athletic Club: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 30

Fortaleza

Home

2 × 2

Athletic Club

Away

Sunday, September 27 · 06:30 PMEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Fortaleza win48.0%

Draw33.4%

Athletic Club win18.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals28.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fortaleza and Athletic Club drew 2 to 2, Sunday, September 27, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Fortaleza had more of the ball (69% possession), shots were 13 to 6, and corners were 5 to 1.

Fortaleza arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletic Club 1 x 0 Fortaleza.

Match statistics

69%Possession31%

7On target3

13Shots6

5Corners1

15Fouls16

2Offsides0

1Saves5

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FortalezaWDWWD

Fortaleza's last matches
09/20	Londrina 1x2 Fortaleza
09/13	Fortaleza 1x1 Ceará
09/09	Fortaleza 1x0 Avaí
09/05	Goiás 0x1 Fortaleza
08/31	Fortaleza 1x1 Operário PR

Athletic ClubDWLWL

Athletic Club's last matches
09/19	Athletic Club 1x1 Botafogo SP
09/13	Juventude 0x2 Athletic Club
09/08	Cuiabá 3x0 Athletic Club
09/04	Athletic Club 5x0 Vila Nova
08/28	Náutico 2x1 Athletic Club

Head-to-head

Last matches between Fortaleza and Athletic Club
05/30/2026	Athletic Club 1x0 Fortaleza

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 30

Frequently asked questions about Fortaleza vs Athletic Club

What was the score of Fortaleza vs Athletic Club?: Fortaleza 2 x 2 Athletic Club, Sunday, September 27, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Athletic Club?: The model pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Fortaleza vs Athletic Club?: Fortaleza had more of the ball (69% possession), shots were 13 to 6, and corners were 5 to 1.
How did Fortaleza and Athletic Club arrive for this match?: Fortaleza arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletic Club 1 x 0 Fortaleza.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.