Vila Nova 0 x 1 Sport Recife: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 21

Vila Nova

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0 × 1

Sport Recife

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Saturday, August 8 · 04:00 PMEstádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vila Nova win35.1%

Draw41.5%

Sport Recife win23.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals41.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Sport Recife beat Vila Nova 1 to 0 away from home, Saturday, August 8, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga and in the Série B 2026.

Vila Nova had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 8 to 5, and corners were 15 to 2.

Vila Nova arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Sport Recife arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Sport Recife 1 x 1 Vila Nova.

Match statistics

62%Possession38%

1On target3

8Shots5

15Corners2

11Fouls19

0Offsides2

2Saves1

1Yellow cards5

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Vila NovaLWLLW

Vila Nova's last matches
07/27	CRB 2x0 Vila Nova
07/21	Vila Nova 2x1 Fortaleza
07/18	Criciúma 2x0 Vila Nova
07/10	Juventude 1x0 Vila Nova
07/06	Vila Nova 2x1 São Bernardo

Sport RecifeDDDDL

Sport Recife's last matches
07/27	Sport Recife 1x1 Cuiabá
07/22	Goiás 1x1 Sport Recife
07/18	Sport Recife 2x2 Operário PR
07/10	Sport Recife 3x3 Botafogo SP
07/04	Criciúma 1x0 Sport Recife

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vila Nova and Sport Recife
04/01/2026	Sport Recife 1x1 Vila Nova

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 21

Frequently asked questions about Vila Nova vs Sport Recife

What was the score of Vila Nova vs Sport Recife?: Vila Nova 0 x 1 Sport Recife, Saturday, August 8, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Sport Recife?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Vila Nova vs Sport Recife?: Vila Nova had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 8 to 5, and corners were 15 to 2.
How did Vila Nova and Sport Recife arrive for this match?: Vila Nova arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Sport Recife arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Sport Recife 1 x 1 Vila Nova.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.