Botafogo SP 2 x 1 América Mineiro: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 21

Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP

Home

2 × 1

América Mineiro

América Mineiro

Away

Estádio Santa Cruz

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo SP win51.9%
Draw34.9%
América Mineiro win13.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals45.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Botafogo SP beat América Mineiro 2 to 1 at home, Saturday, August 8, at Estádio Santa Cruz and in the Série B 2026.

América Mineiro had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 8 to 5, and corners were 4 to 9.

Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). América Mineiro arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Botafogo SP, 1 for América Mineiro and 0 draws.

Botafogo SP vs América Mineiro stats

Match statistics
45%Possession55%
4On target3
8Shots5
4Corners9
16Fouls21
1Offsides1
2Saves3
1Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Botafogo SP win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Botafogo SPLWDDW

Botafogo SP's last matches
07/28Fortaleza 1x0 Botafogo SP
07/23Botafogo SP 4x2 Juventude
07/17Londrina 0x0 Botafogo SP
07/10Sport Recife 3x3 Botafogo SP
07/06Botafogo SP 3x1 Avaí

América MineiroWLDDL

América Mineiro's last matches
07/26América Mineiro 1x0 Goiás
07/21Avaí 2x1 América Mineiro
07/17América Mineiro 1x1 Ceará
07/13América Mineiro 1x1 Londrina
07/02Cuiabá 1x0 América Mineiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between Botafogo SP and América Mineiro
04/01/2026América Mineiro 1x2 Botafogo SP
04/05/2025América Mineiro 1x0 Botafogo SP

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 21

Frequently asked questions about Botafogo SP vs América Mineiro

What was the score of Botafogo SP vs América Mineiro?
Botafogo SP 2 x 1 América Mineiro, Saturday, August 8, at Estádio Santa Cruz, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs América Mineiro?
The model pointed to a Botafogo SP win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo SP vs América Mineiro?
América Mineiro had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 8 to 5, and corners were 4 to 9.
How did Botafogo SP and América Mineiro arrive for this match?
Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). América Mineiro arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Botafogo SP, 1 for América Mineiro and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.