Ceará 2 x 0 Ponte Preta: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 21

Ceará

Ceará

Home

2 × 0

Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta

Away

Estádio Presidente Vargas

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ceará win53.7%
Draw34.8%
Ponte Preta win11.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals49.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Ceará beat Ponte Preta 2 to 0 at home, Friday, August 7, at Estádio Presidente Vargas and in the Série B 2026.

Ceará had more of the ball (70% possession), shots were 15 to 5, and corners were 3 to 2.

Ceará arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Ponte Preta arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Ponte Preta 1 x 1 Ceará.

Ceará vs Ponte Preta stats

Match statistics
70%Possession30%
8On target1
15Shots5
3Corners2
12Fouls16
5Offsides1
1Saves6
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Ceará win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CearáWLDDL

Ceará's last matches
07/26São Bernardo 3x4 Ceará
07/22Ceará 0x1 CRB
07/17América Mineiro 1x1 Ceará
07/13Ceará 0x0 Athletic Club
07/04Goiás 2x0 Ceará

Ponte PretaDLLLL

Ponte Preta's last matches
07/28Ponte Preta 1x1 Athletic Club
07/22Operário PR 3x2 Ponte Preta
07/18Ponte Preta 1x2 Goiás
07/08Ponte Preta 1x2 Criciúma
07/02Fortaleza 2x0 Ponte Preta

Head-to-head

Last matches between Ceará and Ponte Preta
04/01/2026Ponte Preta 1x1 Ceará

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 21

Frequently asked questions about Ceará vs Ponte Preta

What was the score of Ceará vs Ponte Preta?
Ceará 2 x 0 Ponte Preta, Friday, August 7, at Estádio Presidente Vargas, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ceará vs Ponte Preta?
The model pointed to a Ceará win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Ceará vs Ponte Preta?
Ceará had more of the ball (70% possession), shots were 15 to 5, and corners were 3 to 2.
How did Ceará and Ponte Preta arrive for this match?
Ceará arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Ponte Preta arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Ponte Preta 1 x 1 Ceará.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.