Cuiabá 1 x 1 Fortaleza: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 21

Cuiabá

Cuiabá

Home

1 × 1

Fortaleza

Fortaleza

Away

Arena Pantanal

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Cuiabá win26.4%
Draw47.0%
Fortaleza win26.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals17.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Cuiabá and Fortaleza drew 1 to 1, Sunday, August 9, at Arena Pantanal and in the Série B 2026.

Cuiabá had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 15 to 2, and corners were 4 to 3.

Cuiabá arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Fortaleza arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Fortaleza 0 x 0 Cuiabá.

Cuiabá vs Fortaleza stats

Match statistics
57%Possession43%
3On target1
15Shots2
4Corners3
11Fouls10
0Offsides2
1Saves2
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CuiabáDLLDW

Cuiabá's last matches
07/27Sport Recife 1x1 Cuiabá
07/23Cuiabá 0x1 Atlético GO
07/17Juventude 2x0 Cuiabá
07/12São Bernardo 2x2 Cuiabá
07/02Cuiabá 1x0 América Mineiro

FortalezaWLWLW

Fortaleza's last matches
08/05Fortaleza 3x2 Palmeiras
08/02Palmeiras 3x0 Fortaleza
07/28Fortaleza 1x0 Botafogo SP
07/21Vila Nova 2x1 Fortaleza
07/17Fortaleza 1x0 Novorizontino

Head-to-head

Last matches between Cuiabá and Fortaleza
03/31/2026Fortaleza 0x0 Cuiabá

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 21

Frequently asked questions about Cuiabá vs Fortaleza

What was the score of Cuiabá vs Fortaleza?
Cuiabá 1 x 1 Fortaleza, Sunday, August 9, at Arena Pantanal, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Cuiabá vs Fortaleza?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Cuiabá vs Fortaleza?
Cuiabá had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 15 to 2, and corners were 4 to 3.
How did Cuiabá and Fortaleza arrive for this match?
Cuiabá arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Fortaleza arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Fortaleza 0 x 0 Cuiabá.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.