What was the score of Vila Nova vs São Bernardo?

Vila Nova 2 x 1 São Bernardo, Monday, July 6, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, in the Série B 2026.

Vila Nova 2 x 1 São Bernardo: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 16

Vila Nova

Home

2 × 1

São Bernardo

Away

Monday, July 6 · 07:00 PMEstádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vila Nova win33.9%

Draw41.7%

São Bernardo win24.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals35.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vila Nova beat São Bernardo 2 to 1 at home, Monday, July 6, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga and in the Série B 2026.

São Bernardo had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 13 to 8, and corners were 6 to 6.

Vila Nova arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

Match statistics

47%Possession53%

5On target6

13Shots8

6Corners6

10Fouls11

1Offsides2

4Saves3

0Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Vila NovaLWLWW

Vila Nova's last matches
06/26	Novorizontino 2x1 Vila Nova
06/20	Vila Nova 4x3 Náutico
06/14	Cuiabá 1x0 Vila Nova
06/08	Vila Nova 1x0 Botafogo SP
05/31	Londrina 0x1 Vila Nova

São BernardoLLDWD

São Bernardo's last matches
06/27	Criciúma 1x0 São Bernardo
06/21	São Bernardo 0x1 Juventude
06/14	São Bernardo 0x0 Sport Recife
06/07	CRB 2x3 São Bernardo
05/31	São Bernardo 1x1 Novorizontino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 16

Frequently asked questions about Vila Nova vs São Bernardo

What was the score of Vila Nova vs São Bernardo?: Vila Nova 2 x 1 São Bernardo, Monday, July 6, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs São Bernardo?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Vila Nova vs São Bernardo?: São Bernardo had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 13 to 8, and corners were 6 to 6.
How did Vila Nova and São Bernardo arrive for this match?: Vila Nova arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.