Botafogo SP 3 x 1 Avaí: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 16

Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP

Home

3 × 1

Avaí

Avaí

Away

Estádio Santa Cruz

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo SP win38.0%
Draw31.0%
Avaí win31.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals26.4%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Botafogo SP beat Avaí 3 to 1 at home, Monday, July 6, at Estádio Santa Cruz and in the Série B 2026.

Avaí had more of the ball (63% possession), shots were 7 to 8, and corners were 6 to 2.

Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Avaí 5 x 0 Botafogo SP.

Botafogo SP vs Avaí stats

Match statistics
37%Possession63%
5On target4
7Shots8
6Corners2
19Fouls10
3Offsides3
2Saves0
0Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Botafogo SP win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Botafogo SPLWWLD

Botafogo SP's last matches
06/30Botafogo SP 0x1 CRB
06/20Ceará 0x1 Botafogo SP
06/14Botafogo SP 2x1 Operário PR
06/08Vila Nova 1x0 Botafogo SP
06/01Ponte Preta 0x0 Botafogo SP

AvaíLWLLL

Avaí's last matches
06/28Athletic Club 1x0 Avaí
06/21Avaí 1x0 Cuiabá
06/15Londrina 3x2 Avaí
06/10Ceará 2x1 Avaí
05/30Avaí 1x2 Criciúma

Head-to-head

Last matches between Botafogo SP and Avaí
07/28/2025Avaí 5x0 Botafogo SP

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 16

Frequently asked questions about Botafogo SP vs Avaí

What was the score of Botafogo SP vs Avaí?
Botafogo SP 3 x 1 Avaí, Monday, July 6, at Estádio Santa Cruz, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Avaí?
The model pointed to a Botafogo SP win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo SP vs Avaí?
Avaí had more of the ball (63% possession), shots were 7 to 8, and corners were 6 to 2.
How did Botafogo SP and Avaí arrive for this match?
Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Avaí 5 x 0 Botafogo SP.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.