Criciúma 1 x 0 Sport Recife: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 16

Criciúma

Criciúma

Home

1 × 0

Sport Recife

Sport Recife

Away

Estádio Heriberto Hülse

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Criciúma win53.4%
Draw24.6%
Sport Recife win22.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals15.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Criciúma beat Sport Recife 1 to 0 at home, Saturday, July 4, at Estádio Heriberto Hülse and in the Série B 2026.

Sport Recife had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 8 to 13, and corners were 2 to 4.

Criciúma arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points). Sport Recife arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

Criciúma vs Sport Recife stats

Match statistics
45%Possession55%
5On target4
8Shots13
2Corners4
13Fouls17
6Offsides0
4Saves3
4Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Criciúma win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CriciúmaWWDWW

Criciúma's last matches
06/27Criciúma 1x0 São Bernardo
06/23América Mineiro 0x1 Criciúma
06/15Criciúma 1x1 Ceará
06/06Criciúma 1x0 Londrina
05/30Avaí 1x2 Criciúma

Sport RecifeLDDDW

Sport Recife's last matches
06/28Fortaleza 2x1 Sport Recife
06/18Sport Recife 1x1 Atlético GO
06/14São Bernardo 0x0 Sport Recife
06/10Sport Recife 1x1 Athletic Club
05/30Sport Recife 2x0 Náutico

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 16

Frequently asked questions about Criciúma vs Sport Recife

What was the score of Criciúma vs Sport Recife?
Criciúma 1 x 0 Sport Recife, Saturday, July 4, at Estádio Heriberto Hülse, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Criciúma vs Sport Recife?
The model pointed to a Criciúma win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Criciúma vs Sport Recife?
Sport Recife had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 8 to 13, and corners were 2 to 4.
How did Criciúma and Sport Recife arrive for this match?
Criciúma arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points). Sport Recife arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.