Fortaleza 2 x 0 Ponte Preta: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 16

Fortaleza

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2 × 0

Ponte Preta

Away

Thursday, July 2 · 09:00 PMEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Fortaleza win77.2%

Draw14.2%

Ponte Preta win8.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals50.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fortaleza beat Ponte Preta 2 to 0 at home, Thursday, July 2, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Fortaleza had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 12 to 9, and corners were 7 to 4.

Fortaleza arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Ponte Preta arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).

Match statistics

65%Possession35%

6On target3

12Shots9

7Corners4

18Fouls21

3Offsides1

3Saves4

4Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FortalezaWDLWL

Fortaleza's last matches
06/28	Fortaleza 2x1 Sport Recife
06/21	CRB 1x1 Fortaleza
06/16	Fortaleza 0x3 América Mineiro
06/09	Náutico 0x1 Fortaleza
05/30	Athletic Club 1x0 Fortaleza

Ponte PretaLLLLD

Ponte Preta's last matches
06/28	Atlético GO 2x0 Ponte Preta
06/22	Ponte Preta 0x2 Novorizontino
06/14	Juventude 3x0 Ponte Preta
06/09	Ponte Preta 1x2 Cuiabá
06/01	Ponte Preta 0x0 Botafogo SP

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 16

Frequently asked questions about Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta

What was the score of Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta?: Fortaleza 2 x 0 Ponte Preta, Thursday, July 2, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta?: The model pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta?: Fortaleza had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 12 to 9, and corners were 7 to 4.
How did Fortaleza and Ponte Preta arrive for this match?: Fortaleza arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Ponte Preta arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.