Vila Nova 2 x 0 Avaí: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 9

Vila Nova

Home

2 × 0

Avaí

Away

Sunday, May 17 · 06:00 PMEstádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vila Nova win54.4%

Draw26.1%

Avaí win19.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals71.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vila Nova beat Avaí 2 to 0 at home, Sunday, May 17, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga and in the Série B 2026.

Avaí had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 9 to 4, and corners were 2 to 1.

Vila Nova arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Avaí 1 x 1 Vila Nova.

Match statistics

45%Possession55%

6On target3

9Shots4

2Corners1

21Fouls16

3Offsides3

3Saves4

4Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Vila NovaLDDWW

Vila Nova's last matches
05/09	Goiás 1x0 Vila Nova
05/04	Vila Nova 1x1 Athletic Club
04/26	Ceará 3x3 Vila Nova
04/18	Vila Nova 2x1 Operário PR
04/11	Ponte Preta 0x1 Vila Nova

AvaíDDLLD

Avaí's last matches
05/10	Avaí 0x0 Fortaleza
05/03	Avaí 3x3 Novorizontino
04/26	Atlético GO 2x1 Avaí
04/18	Avaí 1x2 Ponte Preta
04/11	Sport Recife 2x2 Avaí

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vila Nova and Avaí
07/19/2025	Avaí 1x1 Vila Nova

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Create free account I already have an account

Other matches in round 9

Frequently asked questions about Vila Nova vs Avaí

What was the score of Vila Nova vs Avaí?: Vila Nova 2 x 0 Avaí, Sunday, May 17, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Avaí?: The model pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Vila Nova vs Avaí?: Avaí had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 9 to 4, and corners were 2 to 1.
How did Vila Nova and Avaí arrive for this match?: Vila Nova arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Avaí 1 x 1 Vila Nova.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.