What was the score of São Bernardo vs América Mineiro?

São Bernardo 1 x 1 América Mineiro, Saturday, May 16, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco, in the Série B 2026.

São Bernardo 1 x 1 América Mineiro: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 9

São Bernardo

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1 × 1

América Mineiro

Away

Saturday, May 16 · 04:00 PMEstádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco

What the model calculated before the match

Result

São Bernardo win68.0%

Draw26.7%

América Mineiro win5.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals78.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

São Bernardo and América Mineiro drew 1 to 1, Saturday, May 16, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco and in the Série B 2026.

América Mineiro had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 8 to 9, and corners were 6 to 7.

São Bernardo arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). América Mineiro arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).

Match statistics

49%Possession51%

4On target4

8Shots9

6Corners7

16Fouls16

0Offsides2

3Saves3

3Yellow cards5

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

São BernardoWWWWL

São Bernardo's last matches
05/12	Londrina 1x3 São Bernardo
05/03	São Bernardo 3x0 Ponte Preta
04/26	São Bernardo 1x0 Goiás
04/18	Náutico 0x3 São Bernardo
04/12	São Bernardo 0x1 Fortaleza

América MineiroLLLDL

América Mineiro's last matches
05/10	Náutico 4x0 América Mineiro
05/03	América Mineiro 1x2 CRB
04/24	Ponte Preta 1x0 América Mineiro
04/18	América Mineiro 0x0 Sport Recife
04/12	América Mineiro 0x3 Novorizontino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 9

Frequently asked questions about São Bernardo vs América Mineiro

What was the score of São Bernardo vs América Mineiro?: São Bernardo 1 x 1 América Mineiro, Saturday, May 16, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for São Bernardo vs América Mineiro?: The model pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for São Bernardo vs América Mineiro?: América Mineiro had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 8 to 9, and corners were 6 to 7.
How did São Bernardo and América Mineiro arrive for this match?: São Bernardo arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). América Mineiro arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.