Athletic Club 1 x 1 Juventude: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 9

Athletic Club

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1 × 1

Juventude

Away

Sunday, May 17 · 04:00 PMEstádio Joaquim Portugal (São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais)

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Athletic Club win25.7%

Draw48.2%

Juventude win26.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals9.3%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Athletic Club and Juventude drew 1 to 1, Sunday, May 17, at Estádio Joaquim Portugal (São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais) and in the Série B 2026.

Juventude had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 15 to 8, and corners were 5 to 3.

Athletic Club arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Juventude arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

Match statistics

44%Possession56%

5On target4

15Shots8

5Corners3

22Fouls16

1Offsides0

3Saves4

2Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Athletic ClubLDDLL

Athletic Club's last matches
05/12	Internacional 3x2 Athletic Club
05/09	Athletic Club 0x0 Cuiabá
05/04	Vila Nova 1x1 Athletic Club
04/27	Athletic Club 0x1 Náutico
04/22	Athletic Club 1x2 Internacional

JuventudeWDDWL

Juventude's last matches
05/13	Juventude 3x1 São Paulo
05/09	Juventude 0x0 Criciúma
05/03	Atlético GO 0x0 Juventude
04/25	Juventude 1x0 Londrina
04/21	São Paulo 1x0 Juventude

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 9

Frequently asked questions about Athletic Club vs Juventude

What was the score of Athletic Club vs Juventude?: Athletic Club 1 x 1 Juventude, Sunday, May 17, at Estádio Joaquim Portugal (São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais), in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs Juventude?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Athletic Club vs Juventude?: Juventude had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 15 to 8, and corners were 5 to 3.
How did Athletic Club and Juventude arrive for this match?: Athletic Club arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Juventude arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.