Sport Recife 2 x 0 Ponte Preta: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 27

Sport Recife

Home

2 × 0

Ponte Preta

Away

Thursday, September 10 · 09:30 PMEstádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Sport Recife win72.7%

Draw15.4%

Ponte Preta win12.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals55.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Sport Recife beat Ponte Preta 2 to 0 at home, Thursday, September 10, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Sport Recife had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 16 to 10, and corners were 7 to 3.

Sport Recife arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Ponte Preta arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Sport Recife, 0 for Ponte Preta and 0 draws.

Match statistics

65%Possession35%

6On target3

16Shots10

7Corners3

18Fouls13

4Offsides1

3Saves5

2Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Sport Recife win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Sport RecifeLLWLW

Sport Recife's last matches
09/05	Ceará 2x1 Sport Recife
08/28	Novorizontino 2x1 Sport Recife
08/24	Sport Recife 3x0 América Mineiro
08/19	Avaí 2x1 Sport Recife
08/14	Sport Recife 2x1 Londrina

Ponte PretaLLLLD

Ponte Preta's last matches
09/06	Ponte Preta 0x2 São Bernardo
08/30	América Mineiro 2x0 Ponte Preta
08/23	Ponte Preta 0x2 Avaí
08/19	Vila Nova 6x0 Ponte Preta
08/14	Ponte Preta 1x1 Náutico

Head-to-head

Last matches between Sport Recife and Ponte Preta
05/09/2026	Ponte Preta 1x3 Sport Recife
07/27/2024	Sport Recife 3x1 Ponte Preta

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 27

Frequently asked questions about Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta

What was the score of Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta?: Sport Recife 2 x 0 Ponte Preta, Thursday, September 10, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta?: The model pointed to a Sport Recife win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta?: Sport Recife had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 16 to 10, and corners were 7 to 3.
How did Sport Recife and Ponte Preta arrive for this match?: Sport Recife arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Ponte Preta arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Sport Recife, 0 for Ponte Preta and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.