Botafogo SP 1 x 3 Novorizontino: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 27

Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP

Home

1 × 3

Novorizontino

Novorizontino

Away

Estádio Santa Cruz

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo SP win28.7%
Draw33.5%
Novorizontino win37.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals51.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Novorizontino beat Botafogo SP 3 to 1 away from home, Wednesday, September 9, at Estádio Santa Cruz and in the Série B 2026.

Botafogo SP had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 9 to 8, and corners were 8 to 4.

Botafogo SP arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Novorizontino arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Novorizontino 1 x 0 Botafogo SP.

Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino stats

Match statistics
54%Possession46%
1On target5
9Shots8
8Corners4
15Fouls17
5Offsides3
2Saves0
4Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Botafogo SPLLLDW

Botafogo SP's last matches
09/03Náutico 1x0 Botafogo SP
08/29Botafogo SP 1x2 Cuiabá
08/25Atlético GO 3x0 Botafogo SP
08/19Botafogo SP 1x1 Criciúma
08/14São Bernardo 0x1 Botafogo SP

NovorizontinoWWWWD

Novorizontino's last matches
09/05Novorizontino 3x1 Avaí
08/28Novorizontino 2x1 Sport Recife
08/24Athletic Club 1x4 Novorizontino
08/20Novorizontino 3x0 América Mineiro
08/16CRB 0x0 Novorizontino

Head-to-head

Last matches between Botafogo SP and Novorizontino
05/10/2026Novorizontino 1x0 Botafogo SP

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 27

Frequently asked questions about Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino

What was the score of Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
Botafogo SP 1 x 3 Novorizontino, Wednesday, September 9, at Estádio Santa Cruz, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
The model pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
Botafogo SP had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 9 to 8, and corners were 8 to 4.
How did Botafogo SP and Novorizontino arrive for this match?
Botafogo SP arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Novorizontino arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Novorizontino 1 x 0 Botafogo SP.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.