Fortaleza 1 x 0 Avaí: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 27

Fortaleza

Home

1 × 0

Avaí

Away

Wednesday, September 9 · 07:30 PMEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Fortaleza win58.7%

Draw28.0%

Avaí win13.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals35.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fortaleza beat Avaí 1 to 0 at home, Wednesday, September 9, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Fortaleza had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 8 to 12, and corners were 4 to 2.

Fortaleza arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Avaí 0 x 0 Fortaleza.

Match statistics

54%Possession46%

3On target2

8Shots12

4Corners2

12Fouls6

1Offsides3

2Saves2

0Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FortalezaWDWDD

Fortaleza's last matches
09/05	Goiás 0x1 Fortaleza
08/31	Fortaleza 1x1 Operário PR
08/23	Criciúma 0x2 Fortaleza
08/19	Fortaleza 1x1 São Bernardo
08/15	Juventude 0x0 Fortaleza

AvaíLLWWW

Avaí's last matches
09/05	Novorizontino 3x1 Avaí
08/30	Avaí 0x1 Atlético GO
08/23	Ponte Preta 0x2 Avaí
08/19	Avaí 2x1 Sport Recife
08/16	Operário PR 1x2 Avaí

Head-to-head

Last matches between Fortaleza and Avaí
05/10/2026	Avaí 0x0 Fortaleza

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 27

Frequently asked questions about Fortaleza vs Avaí

What was the score of Fortaleza vs Avaí?: Fortaleza 1 x 0 Avaí, Wednesday, September 9, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Avaí?: The model pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Fortaleza vs Avaí?: Fortaleza had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 8 to 12, and corners were 4 to 2.
How did Fortaleza and Avaí arrive for this match?: Fortaleza arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Avaí 0 x 0 Fortaleza.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.