Sport Recife 1 x 0 Novorizontino: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 6

Sport Recife

Sport Recife

Home

1 × 0

Novorizontino

Novorizontino

Away

Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Sport Recife win54.5%
Draw25.1%
Novorizontino win20.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals24.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Sport Recife beat Novorizontino 1 to 0 at home, Saturday, April 25, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Sport Recife had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 9 to 10, and corners were 3 to 5.

Sport Recife arrived with 1 win and 4 draws in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Novorizontino arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

Sport Recife vs Novorizontino stats

Match statistics
56%Possession44%
5On target4
9Shots10
3Corners5
13Fouls21
2Offsides1
4Saves3
4Yellow cards5

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Sport Recife win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Sport RecifeDDWDD

Sport Recife's last matches
04/18América Mineiro 0x0 Sport Recife
04/11Sport Recife 2x2 Avaí
04/04Londrina 1x2 Sport Recife
04/01Sport Recife 1x1 Vila Nova
03/21Cuiabá 0x0 Sport Recife

NovorizontinoWWDDL

Novorizontino's last matches
04/19Novorizontino 2x1 Athletic Club
04/12América Mineiro 0x3 Novorizontino
04/05Novorizontino 1x1 CRB
03/31Juventude 0x0 Novorizontino
03/22Novorizontino 1x3 Londrina

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 6

Frequently asked questions about Sport Recife vs Novorizontino

What was the score of Sport Recife vs Novorizontino?
Sport Recife 1 x 0 Novorizontino, Saturday, April 25, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Novorizontino?
The model pointed to a Sport Recife win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Sport Recife vs Novorizontino?
Sport Recife had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 9 to 10, and corners were 3 to 5.
How did Sport Recife and Novorizontino arrive for this match?
Sport Recife arrived with 1 win and 4 draws in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Novorizontino arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.