Ponte Preta 1 x 0 América Mineiro: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 6

Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta

Home

1 × 0

América Mineiro

América Mineiro

Away

Estádio Moisés Lucarelli

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ponte Preta win59.8%
Draw23.9%
América Mineiro win16.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals14.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Ponte Preta beat América Mineiro 1 to 0 at home, Friday, April 24, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli and in the Série B 2026.

América Mineiro had more of the ball (69% possession), shots were 7 to 9, and corners were 2 to 10.

Ponte Preta arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). América Mineiro arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

Ponte Preta vs América Mineiro stats

Match statistics
31%Possession69%
3On target4
7Shots9
2Corners10
29Fouls13
2Offsides3
4Saves2
4Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Ponte Preta win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Ponte PretaWLLDL

Ponte Preta's last matches
04/18Avaí 1x2 Ponte Preta
04/11Ponte Preta 0x1 Vila Nova
04/04Náutico 1x0 Ponte Preta
04/01Ponte Preta 1x1 Ceará
03/22Athletic Club 2x1 Ponte Preta

América MineiroDLDLL

América Mineiro's last matches
04/18América Mineiro 0x0 Sport Recife
04/12América Mineiro 0x3 Novorizontino
04/05Athletic Club 1x1 América Mineiro
04/01América Mineiro 1x2 Botafogo SP
03/22Goiás 3x1 América Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 6

Frequently asked questions about Ponte Preta vs América Mineiro

What was the score of Ponte Preta vs América Mineiro?
Ponte Preta 1 x 0 América Mineiro, Friday, April 24, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs América Mineiro?
The model pointed to a Ponte Preta win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Ponte Preta vs América Mineiro?
América Mineiro had more of the ball (69% possession), shots were 7 to 9, and corners were 2 to 10.
How did Ponte Preta and América Mineiro arrive for this match?
Ponte Preta arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). América Mineiro arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.