Ceará 3 x 3 Vila Nova: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 6

Ceará

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3 × 3

Vila Nova

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Sunday, April 26 · 06:00 PMEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ceará win30.9%

Draw42.2%

Vila Nova win26.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals27.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Ceará and Vila Nova drew 3 to 3, Sunday, April 26, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Vila Nova had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 7 to 7, and corners were 3 to 4.

Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).

Match statistics

46%Possession54%

5On target6

7Shots7

3Corners4

17Fouls12

7Offsides1

3Saves2

1Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CearáLDWWD

Ceará's last matches
04/23	Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Ceará
04/19	Londrina 0x0 Ceará
04/11	Ceará 1x0 Náutico
04/04	Cuiabá 0x2 Ceará
04/01	Ponte Preta 1x1 Ceará

Vila NovaWWWDD

Vila Nova's last matches
04/18	Vila Nova 2x1 Operário PR
04/11	Ponte Preta 0x1 Vila Nova
04/04	Vila Nova 2x1 Atlético GO
04/01	Sport Recife 1x1 Vila Nova
03/21	Vila Nova 2x2 CRB

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 6

Frequently asked questions about Ceará vs Vila Nova

What was the score of Ceará vs Vila Nova?: Ceará 3 x 3 Vila Nova, Sunday, April 26, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ceará vs Vila Nova?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Ceará vs Vila Nova?: Vila Nova had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 7 to 7, and corners were 3 to 4.
How did Ceará and Vila Nova arrive for this match?: Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.