Sport Recife 2 x 0 Náutico: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 11

Sport Recife

Sport Recife

Home

2 × 0

Náutico

Náutico

Away

Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Sport Recife win53.0%
Draw23.0%
Náutico win24.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals41.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Sport Recife beat Náutico 2 to 0 at home, Saturday, May 30, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 8 to 19, and corners were 1 to 8.

Sport Recife arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).

Sport Recife vs Náutico stats

Match statistics
40%Possession60%
5On target6
8Shots19
1Corners8
18Fouls18
3Offsides1
6Saves3
5Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Sport Recife win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Sport RecifeWLWWW

Sport Recife's last matches
05/23Juventude 0x1 Sport Recife
05/17Sport Recife 1x2 CRB
05/09Ponte Preta 1x3 Sport Recife
05/03Sport Recife 2x0 Ceará
04/25Sport Recife 1x0 Novorizontino

NáuticoWWWDW

Náutico's last matches
05/22Náutico 1x0 Cuiabá
05/16Operário PR 2x6 Náutico
05/10Náutico 4x0 América Mineiro
05/02Botafogo SP 1x1 Náutico
04/27Athletic Club 0x1 Náutico

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 11

Frequently asked questions about Sport Recife vs Náutico

What was the score of Sport Recife vs Náutico?
Sport Recife 2 x 0 Náutico, Saturday, May 30, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Náutico?
The model pointed to a Sport Recife win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Sport Recife vs Náutico?
Náutico had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 8 to 19, and corners were 1 to 8.
How did Sport Recife and Náutico arrive for this match?
Sport Recife arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.