São Bernardo 1 x 1 Novorizontino: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 11

São Bernardo

São Bernardo

Home

1 × 1

Novorizontino

Novorizontino

Away

Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco

What the model calculated before the match

Result

São Bernardo win43.0%
Draw40.1%
Novorizontino win16.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals39.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

São Bernardo and Novorizontino drew 1 to 1, Sunday, May 31, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco and in the Série B 2026.

São Bernardo had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 11 to 10, and corners were 6 to 1.

São Bernardo arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points). Novorizontino arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

São Bernardo vs Novorizontino stats

Match statistics
54%Possession46%
4On target3
11Shots10
6Corners1
16Fouls12
5Offsides1
2Saves3
3Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

São BernardoWDWWW

São Bernardo's last matches
05/24Atlético GO 0x1 São Bernardo
05/16São Bernardo 1x1 América Mineiro
05/12Londrina 1x3 São Bernardo
05/03São Bernardo 3x0 Ponte Preta
04/26São Bernardo 1x0 Goiás

NovorizontinoWDWDL

Novorizontino's last matches
05/23Novorizontino 2x1 Ceará
05/16Cuiabá 0x0 Novorizontino
05/10Novorizontino 1x0 Botafogo SP
05/03Avaí 3x3 Novorizontino
04/25Sport Recife 1x0 Novorizontino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 11

Frequently asked questions about São Bernardo vs Novorizontino

What was the score of São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
São Bernardo 1 x 1 Novorizontino, Sunday, May 31, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
The model pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
São Bernardo had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 11 to 10, and corners were 6 to 1.
How did São Bernardo and Novorizontino arrive for this match?
São Bernardo arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points). Novorizontino arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.