Avaí 1 x 2 Criciúma: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 11

Avaí

Home

1 × 2

Criciúma

Away

Saturday, May 30 · 04:00 PMEstádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Avaí win22.2%

Draw43.1%

Criciúma win34.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals37.3%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Criciúma beat Avaí 2 to 1 away from home, Saturday, May 30, at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva and in the Série B 2026.

Avaí had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 11 to 16, and corners were 3 to 9.

Avaí arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Criciúma arrived with 1 win and 4 draws in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Avaí, 0 for Criciúma and 1 draw.

Match statistics

57%Possession43%

3On target3

11Shots16

3Corners9

16Fouls25

2Offsides0

1Saves1

2Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

AvaíLLDDL

Avaí's last matches
05/24	Avaí 0x2 Goiás
05/17	Vila Nova 2x0 Avaí
05/10	Avaí 0x0 Fortaleza
05/03	Avaí 3x3 Novorizontino
04/26	Atlético GO 2x1 Avaí

CriciúmaDDDDW

Criciúma's last matches
05/24	Operário PR 1x1 Criciúma
05/17	Criciúma 1x1 Atlético GO
05/09	Juventude 0x0 Criciúma
05/02	Cuiabá 1x1 Criciúma
04/26	Criciúma 3x1 CRB

Head-to-head

Last matches between Avaí and Criciúma
10/19/2025	Avaí 1x1 Criciúma
06/27/2025	Criciúma 1x2 Avaí

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 11

Frequently asked questions about Avaí vs Criciúma

What was the score of Avaí vs Criciúma?: Avaí 1 x 2 Criciúma, Saturday, May 30, at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Avaí vs Criciúma?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Avaí vs Criciúma?: Avaí had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 11 to 16, and corners were 3 to 9.
How did Avaí and Criciúma arrive for this match?: Avaí arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Criciúma arrived with 1 win and 4 draws in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Avaí, 0 for Criciúma and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.