São Bernardo 0 x 1 Botafogo SP: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 22

São Bernardo

Home

0 × 1

Botafogo SP

Away

Friday, August 14 · 07:30 PMEstádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco

What the model calculated before the match

Result

São Bernardo win38.9%

Draw40.3%

Botafogo SP win20.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals44.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Botafogo SP beat São Bernardo 1 to 0 away from home, Friday, August 14, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco and in the Série B 2026.

São Bernardo had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 10 to 10, and corners were 12 to 11.

São Bernardo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Botafogo SP 1 x 2 São Bernardo.

Match statistics

64%Possession36%

3On target3

10Shots10

12Corners11

8Fouls13

1Offsides0

2Saves3

2Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

São BernardoWLLDD

São Bernardo's last matches
08/07	Operário PR 1x3 São Bernardo
07/26	São Bernardo 3x4 Ceará
07/23	Athletic Club 2x1 São Bernardo
07/17	São Bernardo 1x1 Avaí
07/12	São Bernardo 2x2 Cuiabá

Botafogo SPWLWDD

Botafogo SP's last matches
08/08	Botafogo SP 2x1 América Mineiro
07/28	Fortaleza 1x0 Botafogo SP
07/23	Botafogo SP 4x2 Juventude
07/17	Londrina 0x0 Botafogo SP
07/10	Sport Recife 3x3 Botafogo SP

Head-to-head

Last matches between São Bernardo and Botafogo SP
04/05/2026	Botafogo SP 1x2 São Bernardo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 22

Frequently asked questions about São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP

What was the score of São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP?: São Bernardo 0 x 1 Botafogo SP, Friday, August 14, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP?: São Bernardo had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 10 to 10, and corners were 12 to 11.
How did São Bernardo and Botafogo SP arrive for this match?: São Bernardo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Botafogo SP 1 x 2 São Bernardo.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.