Ponte Preta 1 x 1 Náutico: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 22

Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta

Home

1 × 1

Náutico

Náutico

Away

Estádio Moisés Lucarelli

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ponte Preta win15.5%
Draw37.6%
Náutico win46.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals49.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Ponte Preta and Náutico drew 1 to 1, Friday, August 14, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (63% possession), shots were 12 to 11, and corners were 6 to 6.

Ponte Preta arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Náutico 1 x 0 Ponte Preta.

Ponte Preta vs Náutico stats

Match statistics
37%Possession63%
6On target4
12Shots11
6Corners6
17Fouls17
0Offsides2
3Saves5
3Yellow cards5
0Red cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Náutico win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Ponte PretaLDLLL

Ponte Preta's last matches
08/07Ceará 2x0 Ponte Preta
07/28Ponte Preta 1x1 Athletic Club
07/22Operário PR 3x2 Ponte Preta
07/18Ponte Preta 1x2 Goiás
07/08Ponte Preta 1x2 Criciúma

NáuticoDDWLL

Náutico's last matches
08/09Náutico 1x1 Atlético GO
07/26Criciúma 0x0 Náutico
07/22Náutico 2x1 Londrina
07/16CRB 2x1 Náutico
07/12Avaí 2x0 Náutico

Head-to-head

Last matches between Ponte Preta and Náutico
04/04/2026Náutico 1x0 Ponte Preta

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 22

Frequently asked questions about Ponte Preta vs Náutico

What was the score of Ponte Preta vs Náutico?
Ponte Preta 1 x 1 Náutico, Friday, August 14, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Náutico?
The model pointed to a Náutico win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Ponte Preta vs Náutico?
Náutico had more of the ball (63% possession), shots were 12 to 11, and corners were 6 to 6.
How did Ponte Preta and Náutico arrive for this match?
Ponte Preta arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Náutico 1 x 0 Ponte Preta.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.