Ceará 1 x 3 Cuiabá: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 22

Ceará

Ceará

Home

1 × 3

Cuiabá

Cuiabá

Away

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ceará win34.2%
Draw40.8%
Cuiabá win25.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals25.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Cuiabá beat Ceará 3 to 1 away from home, Saturday, August 15, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Ceará had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 7 to 13, and corners were 4 to 5.

Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Cuiabá arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Cuiabá 0 x 2 Ceará.

Ceará vs Cuiabá stats

Match statistics
64%Possession36%
3On target5
7Shots13
4Corners5
17Fouls13
1Offsides2
3Saves2
2Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CearáWWLDD

Ceará's last matches
08/07Ceará 2x0 Ponte Preta
07/26São Bernardo 3x4 Ceará
07/22Ceará 0x1 CRB
07/17América Mineiro 1x1 Ceará
07/13Ceará 0x0 Athletic Club

CuiabáDDLLD

Cuiabá's last matches
08/09Cuiabá 1x1 Fortaleza
07/27Sport Recife 1x1 Cuiabá
07/23Cuiabá 0x1 Atlético GO
07/17Juventude 2x0 Cuiabá
07/12São Bernardo 2x2 Cuiabá

Head-to-head

Last matches between Ceará and Cuiabá
04/04/2026Cuiabá 0x2 Ceará

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 22

Frequently asked questions about Ceará vs Cuiabá

What was the score of Ceará vs Cuiabá?
Ceará 1 x 3 Cuiabá, Saturday, August 15, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ceará vs Cuiabá?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Ceará vs Cuiabá?
Ceará had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 7 to 13, and corners were 4 to 5.
How did Ceará and Cuiabá arrive for this match?
Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Cuiabá arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Cuiabá 0 x 2 Ceará.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.