América Mineiro 1 x 3 Athletic Club: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 22

América Mineiro

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1 × 3

Athletic Club

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Sunday, August 16 · 06:30 PMCentro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães

What the model calculated before the match

Result

América Mineiro win17.1%

Draw41.1%

Athletic Club win41.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals33.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Athletic Club beat América Mineiro 3 to 1 away from home, Sunday, August 16, at Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães and in the Série B 2026.

América Mineiro had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 16 to 12, and corners were 6 to 4.

América Mineiro arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for América Mineiro, 0 for Athletic Club and 1 draw.

Match statistics

52%Possession48%

6On target6

16Shots12

6Corners4

11Fouls11

2Offsides1

4Saves5

1Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Athletic Club win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

América MineiroLWLDD

América Mineiro's last matches
08/08	Botafogo SP 2x1 América Mineiro
07/26	América Mineiro 1x0 Goiás
07/21	Avaí 2x1 América Mineiro
07/17	América Mineiro 1x1 Ceará
07/13	América Mineiro 1x1 Londrina

Athletic ClubWDWDD

Athletic Club's last matches
08/09	Athletic Club 2x0 Criciúma
07/28	Ponte Preta 1x1 Athletic Club
07/23	Athletic Club 2x1 São Bernardo
07/18	Atlético GO 0x0 Athletic Club
07/13	Ceará 0x0 Athletic Club

Head-to-head

Last matches between América Mineiro and Athletic Club
04/05/2026	Athletic Club 1x1 América Mineiro
10/25/2025	Athletic Club 0x2 América Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 22

Frequently asked questions about América Mineiro vs Athletic Club

What was the score of América Mineiro vs Athletic Club?: América Mineiro 1 x 3 Athletic Club, Sunday, August 16, at Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for América Mineiro vs Athletic Club?: The model pointed to a Athletic Club win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for América Mineiro vs Athletic Club?: América Mineiro had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 16 to 12, and corners were 6 to 4.
How did América Mineiro and Athletic Club arrive for this match?: América Mineiro arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for América Mineiro, 0 for Athletic Club and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.