São Bernardo 1 x 1 Avaí: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 18

São Bernardo

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1 × 1

Avaí

Away

Friday, July 17 · 07:00 PMEstádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco

What the model calculated before the match

Result

São Bernardo win48.9%

Draw36.7%

Avaí win14.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals50.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

São Bernardo and Avaí drew 1 to 1, Friday, July 17, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco and in the Série B 2026.

São Bernardo had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 6 to 3, and corners were 9 to 2.

São Bernardo arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

Match statistics

57%Possession43%

3On target2

6Shots3

9Corners2

16Fouls9

0Offsides1

1Saves2

3Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

São BernardoDLLLD

São Bernardo's last matches
07/12	São Bernardo 2x2 Cuiabá
07/06	Vila Nova 2x1 São Bernardo
06/27	Criciúma 1x0 São Bernardo
06/21	São Bernardo 0x1 Juventude
06/14	São Bernardo 0x0 Sport Recife

AvaíWLLWL

Avaí's last matches
07/12	Avaí 2x0 Náutico
07/06	Botafogo SP 3x1 Avaí
06/28	Athletic Club 1x0 Avaí
06/21	Avaí 1x0 Cuiabá
06/15	Londrina 3x2 Avaí

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 18

Frequently asked questions about São Bernardo vs Avaí

What was the score of São Bernardo vs Avaí?: São Bernardo 1 x 1 Avaí, Friday, July 17, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for São Bernardo vs Avaí?: The model pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for São Bernardo vs Avaí?: São Bernardo had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 6 to 3, and corners were 9 to 2.
How did São Bernardo and Avaí arrive for this match?: São Bernardo arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.