CRB 2 x 1 Náutico: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 18

CRB

Home

2 × 1

Náutico

Away

Thursday, July 16 · 08:00 PMEstádio Universitário da UFAL

What the model calculated before the match

Result

CRB win44.2%

Draw28.2%

Náutico win27.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals77.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

CRB beat Náutico 2 to 1 at home, Thursday, July 16, at Estádio Universitário da UFAL and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 18 to 5, and corners were 4 to 3.

CRB arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

Match statistics

44%Possession56%

8On target2

18Shots5

4Corners3

14Fouls12

3Offsides4

1Saves6

1Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a CRB win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CRBDLWDD

CRB's last matches
07/12	CRB 2x2 Goiás
07/04	Londrina 5x0 CRB
06/30	Botafogo SP 0x1 CRB
06/21	CRB 1x1 Fortaleza
06/12	Atlético GO 3x3 CRB

NáuticoLDLLD

Náutico's last matches
07/12	Avaí 2x0 Náutico
07/05	Náutico 0x0 Juventude
06/28	Náutico 0x1 Goiás
06/20	Vila Nova 4x3 Náutico
06/14	Novorizontino 2x2 Náutico

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Create free account I already have an account

Other matches in round 18

Frequently asked questions about CRB vs Náutico

What was the score of CRB vs Náutico?: CRB 2 x 1 Náutico, Thursday, July 16, at Estádio Universitário da UFAL, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for CRB vs Náutico?: The model pointed to a CRB win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for CRB vs Náutico?: Náutico had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 18 to 5, and corners were 4 to 3.
How did CRB and Náutico arrive for this match?: CRB arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.