América Mineiro 1 x 1 Ceará: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 18

América Mineiro

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1 × 1

Ceará

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Friday, July 17 · 07:00 PMCentro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães

What the model calculated before the match

Result

América Mineiro win22.6%

Draw43.8%

Ceará win33.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals33.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

América Mineiro and Ceará drew 1 to 1, Friday, July 17, at Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães and in the Série B 2026.

América Mineiro had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 8 to 5, and corners were 4 to 5.

América Mineiro arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Ceará arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

Match statistics

60%Possession40%

4On target3

8Shots5

4Corners5

12Fouls12

2Offsides1

2Saves3

3Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

América MineiroDLLLW

América Mineiro's last matches
07/13	América Mineiro 1x1 Londrina
07/02	Cuiabá 1x0 América Mineiro
06/27	Operário PR 1x0 América Mineiro
06/23	América Mineiro 0x1 Criciúma
06/16	Fortaleza 0x3 América Mineiro

CearáDLLLD

Ceará's last matches
07/13	Ceará 0x0 Athletic Club
07/04	Goiás 2x0 Ceará
06/28	Juventude 2x0 Ceará
06/20	Ceará 0x1 Botafogo SP
06/15	Criciúma 1x1 Ceará

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 18

Frequently asked questions about América Mineiro vs Ceará

What was the score of América Mineiro vs Ceará?: América Mineiro 1 x 1 Ceará, Friday, July 17, at Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for América Mineiro vs Ceará?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for América Mineiro vs Ceará?: América Mineiro had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 8 to 5, and corners were 4 to 5.
How did América Mineiro and Ceará arrive for this match?: América Mineiro arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Ceará arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.