Ponte Preta 1 x 1 Athletic Club: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 20

Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta

Home

1 × 1

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Away

Estádio Moisés Lucarelli

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ponte Preta win24.3%
Draw24.7%
Athletic Club win51.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals33.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Ponte Preta and Athletic Club drew 1 to 1, Tuesday, July 28, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli and in the Série B 2026.

Ponte Preta had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 13 to 8, and corners were 1 to 1.

Ponte Preta arrived with 5 losses in the last 5 matches (0 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletic Club 2 x 1 Ponte Preta.

Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club stats

Match statistics
55%Possession45%
6On target4
13Shots8
1Corners1
21Fouls18
0Offsides8
3Saves5
4Yellow cards5

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Athletic Club win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Ponte PretaLLLLL

Ponte Preta's last matches
07/22Operário PR 3x2 Ponte Preta
07/18Ponte Preta 1x2 Goiás
07/08Ponte Preta 1x2 Criciúma
07/02Fortaleza 2x0 Ponte Preta
06/28Atlético GO 2x0 Ponte Preta

Athletic ClubWDDLW

Athletic Club's last matches
07/23Athletic Club 2x1 São Bernardo
07/18Atlético GO 0x0 Athletic Club
07/13Ceará 0x0 Athletic Club
07/07Athletic Club 0x1 Operário PR
06/28Athletic Club 1x0 Avaí

Head-to-head

Last matches between Ponte Preta and Athletic Club
03/22/2026Athletic Club 2x1 Ponte Preta

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 20

Frequently asked questions about Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club

What was the score of Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club?
Ponte Preta 1 x 1 Athletic Club, Tuesday, July 28, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club?
The model pointed to a Athletic Club win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club?
Ponte Preta had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 13 to 8, and corners were 1 to 1.
How did Ponte Preta and Athletic Club arrive for this match?
Ponte Preta arrived with 5 losses in the last 5 matches (0 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletic Club 2 x 1 Ponte Preta.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.