CRB 2 x 0 Vila Nova: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 20

CRB

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2 × 0

Vila Nova

Away

Monday, July 27 · 07:30 PMEstádio Universitário da UFAL

What the model calculated before the match

Result

CRB win42.1%

Draw24.3%

Vila Nova win33.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals67.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

CRB beat Vila Nova 2 to 0 at home, Monday, July 27, at Estádio Universitário da UFAL and in the Série B 2026.

Vila Nova had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 19 to 11, and corners were 6 to 5.

CRB arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for CRB, 1 for Vila Nova and 1 draw.

Match statistics

44%Possession56%

10On target4

19Shots11

6Corners5

11Fouls14

3Offsides0

4Saves8

0Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a CRB win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CRBWWDLW

CRB's last matches
07/22	Ceará 0x1 CRB
07/16	CRB 2x1 Náutico
07/12	CRB 2x2 Goiás
07/04	Londrina 5x0 CRB
06/30	Botafogo SP 0x1 CRB

Vila NovaWLLWL

Vila Nova's last matches
07/21	Vila Nova 2x1 Fortaleza
07/18	Criciúma 2x0 Vila Nova
07/10	Juventude 1x0 Vila Nova
07/06	Vila Nova 2x1 São Bernardo
06/26	Novorizontino 2x1 Vila Nova

Head-to-head

Last matches between CRB and Vila Nova
03/21/2026	Vila Nova 2x2 CRB
11/15/2025	CRB 2x0 Vila Nova
09/04/2024	Vila Nova 1x0 CRB

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 20

Frequently asked questions about CRB vs Vila Nova

What was the score of CRB vs Vila Nova?: CRB 2 x 0 Vila Nova, Monday, July 27, at Estádio Universitário da UFAL, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for CRB vs Vila Nova?: The model pointed to a CRB win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for CRB vs Vila Nova?: Vila Nova had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 19 to 11, and corners were 6 to 5.
How did CRB and Vila Nova arrive for this match?: CRB arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for CRB, 1 for Vila Nova and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.