Fortaleza 1 x 0 Botafogo SP: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 20

Fortaleza

Home

1 × 0

Botafogo SP

Away

Tuesday, July 28 · 09:35 PMEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Fortaleza win48.3%

Draw24.1%

Botafogo SP win27.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals33.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fortaleza beat Botafogo SP 1 to 0 at home, Tuesday, July 28, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Fortaleza had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 13 to 8, and corners were 10 to 6.

Fortaleza arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Botafogo SP 4 x 0 Fortaleza.

Match statistics

54%Possession46%

5On target5

13Shots8

10Corners6

13Fouls18

2Offsides0

5Saves4

0Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FortalezaLWLWW

Fortaleza's last matches
07/21	Vila Nova 2x1 Fortaleza
07/17	Fortaleza 1x0 Novorizontino
07/12	Atlético GO 1x0 Fortaleza
07/02	Fortaleza 2x0 Ponte Preta
06/28	Fortaleza 2x1 Sport Recife

Botafogo SPWDDWL

Botafogo SP's last matches
07/23	Botafogo SP 4x2 Juventude
07/17	Londrina 0x0 Botafogo SP
07/10	Sport Recife 3x3 Botafogo SP
07/06	Botafogo SP 3x1 Avaí
06/30	Botafogo SP 0x1 CRB

Head-to-head

Last matches between Fortaleza and Botafogo SP
03/21/2026	Botafogo SP 4x0 Fortaleza

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Create free account I already have an account

Other matches in round 20

Frequently asked questions about Fortaleza vs Botafogo SP

What was the score of Fortaleza vs Botafogo SP?: Fortaleza 1 x 0 Botafogo SP, Tuesday, July 28, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Botafogo SP?: The model pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Fortaleza vs Botafogo SP?: Fortaleza had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 13 to 8, and corners were 10 to 6.
How did Fortaleza and Botafogo SP arrive for this match?: Fortaleza arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Botafogo SP 4 x 0 Fortaleza.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.