Novorizontino 2 x 1 Ceará: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 10

Novorizontino

Novorizontino

Home

2 × 1

Ceará

Ceará

Away

Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Novorizontino win47.2%
Draw22.9%
Ceará win29.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals38.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Novorizontino beat Ceará 2 to 1 at home, Saturday, May 23, at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi and in the Série B 2026.

Ceará had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 13 to 4, and corners were 5 to 2.

Novorizontino arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Ceará 1 x 0 Novorizontino.

Novorizontino vs Ceará stats

Match statistics
49%Possession51%
6On target1
13Shots4
5Corners2
18Fouls12
2Offsides1
0Saves4
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NovorizontinoDWDLW

Novorizontino's last matches
05/16Cuiabá 0x0 Novorizontino
05/10Novorizontino 1x0 Botafogo SP
05/03Avaí 3x3 Novorizontino
04/25Sport Recife 1x0 Novorizontino
04/19Novorizontino 2x1 Athletic Club

CearáWWLLD

Ceará's last matches
05/17Ceará 2x1 Fortaleza
05/13Ceará 2x1 Atlético Mineiro
05/09Ceará 0x1 Atlético GO
05/03Sport Recife 2x0 Ceará
04/26Ceará 3x3 Vila Nova

Head-to-head

Last matches between Novorizontino and Ceará
08/26/2024Ceará 1x0 Novorizontino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 10

Frequently asked questions about Novorizontino vs Ceará

What was the score of Novorizontino vs Ceará?
Novorizontino 2 x 1 Ceará, Saturday, May 23, at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Ceará?
The model pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Novorizontino vs Ceará?
Ceará had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 13 to 4, and corners were 5 to 2.
How did Novorizontino and Ceará arrive for this match?
Novorizontino arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Ceará 1 x 0 Novorizontino.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.