Botafogo SP 1 x 2 Athletic Club: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 10

Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP

Home

1 × 2

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Away

Estádio Santa Cruz

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo SP win32.4%
Draw24.4%
Athletic Club win43.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals41.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Athletic Club beat Botafogo SP 2 to 1 away from home, Monday, May 25, at Estádio Santa Cruz and in the Série B 2026.

Botafogo SP had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 12 to 8, and corners were 6 to 2.

Botafogo SP arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletic Club 2 x 0 Botafogo SP.

Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club stats

Match statistics
62%Possession38%
6On target2
12Shots8
6Corners2
14Fouls14
3Offsides2
0Saves5
4Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Athletic Club win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Botafogo SPLLDDD

Botafogo SP's last matches
05/16Goiás 1x0 Botafogo SP
05/10Novorizontino 1x0 Botafogo SP
05/02Botafogo SP 1x1 Náutico
04/22Cuiabá 1x1 Botafogo SP
04/19Botafogo SP 1x1 Atlético GO

Athletic ClubDLDDL

Athletic Club's last matches
05/17Athletic Club 1x1 Juventude
05/12Internacional 3x2 Athletic Club
05/09Athletic Club 0x0 Cuiabá
05/04Vila Nova 1x1 Athletic Club
04/27Athletic Club 0x1 Náutico

Head-to-head

Last matches between Botafogo SP and Athletic Club
09/14/2025Athletic Club 2x0 Botafogo SP

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 10

Frequently asked questions about Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club

What was the score of Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club?
Botafogo SP 1 x 2 Athletic Club, Monday, May 25, at Estádio Santa Cruz, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club?
The model pointed to a Athletic Club win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club?
Botafogo SP had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 12 to 8, and corners were 6 to 2.
How did Botafogo SP and Athletic Club arrive for this match?
Botafogo SP arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletic Club 2 x 0 Botafogo SP.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.