América Mineiro 1 x 2 Vila Nova: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 10

América Mineiro

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1 × 2

Vila Nova

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Sunday, May 24 · 06:30 PMCentro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães

What the model calculated before the match

Result

América Mineiro win12.7%

Draw17.7%

Vila Nova win69.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals51.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vila Nova beat América Mineiro 2 to 1 away from home, Sunday, May 24, at Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães and in the Série B 2026.

Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 17 to 12, and corners were 4 to 4.

América Mineiro arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

Match statistics

50%Possession50%

5On target4

17Shots12

4Corners4

15Fouls16

2Offsides0

2Saves4

3Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

América MineiroDLLLD

América Mineiro's last matches
05/16	São Bernardo 1x1 América Mineiro
05/10	Náutico 4x0 América Mineiro
05/03	América Mineiro 1x2 CRB
04/24	Ponte Preta 1x0 América Mineiro
04/18	América Mineiro 0x0 Sport Recife

Vila NovaWLDDW

Vila Nova's last matches
05/17	Vila Nova 2x0 Avaí
05/09	Goiás 1x0 Vila Nova
05/04	Vila Nova 1x1 Athletic Club
04/26	Ceará 3x3 Vila Nova
04/18	Vila Nova 2x1 Operário PR

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 10

Frequently asked questions about América Mineiro vs Vila Nova

What was the score of América Mineiro vs Vila Nova?: América Mineiro 1 x 2 Vila Nova, Sunday, May 24, at Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for América Mineiro vs Vila Nova?: The model pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for América Mineiro vs Vila Nova?: Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 17 to 12, and corners were 4 to 4.
How did América Mineiro and Vila Nova arrive for this match?: América Mineiro arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.