Náutico 1 x 0 Cuiabá: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 10

Náutico

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1 × 0

Cuiabá

Away

Friday, May 22 · 07:00 PMEstádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Náutico win55.5%

Draw25.8%

Cuiabá win18.7%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals10.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Náutico beat Cuiabá 1 to 0 at home, Friday, May 22, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (67% possession), shots were 7 to 6, and corners were 6 to 1.

Náutico arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Cuiabá arrived with 1 win and 4 draws in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

Match statistics

67%Possession33%

2On target2

7Shots6

6Corners1

16Fouls20

3Offsides2

2Saves1

3Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Náutico win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NáuticoWWDWL

Náutico's last matches
05/16	Operário PR 2x6 Náutico
05/10	Náutico 4x0 América Mineiro
05/02	Botafogo SP 1x1 Náutico
04/27	Athletic Club 0x1 Náutico
04/18	Náutico 0x3 São Bernardo

CuiabáDDDDW

Cuiabá's last matches
05/16	Cuiabá 0x0 Novorizontino
05/09	Athletic Club 0x0 Cuiabá
05/02	Cuiabá 1x1 Criciúma
04/22	Cuiabá 1x1 Botafogo SP
04/19	Goiás 0x2 Cuiabá

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 10

Frequently asked questions about Náutico vs Cuiabá

What was the score of Náutico vs Cuiabá?: Náutico 1 x 0 Cuiabá, Friday, May 22, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Náutico vs Cuiabá?: The model pointed to a Náutico win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Náutico vs Cuiabá?: Náutico had more of the ball (67% possession), shots were 7 to 6, and corners were 6 to 1.
How did Náutico and Cuiabá arrive for this match?: Náutico arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Cuiabá arrived with 1 win and 4 draws in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.